Marine heatwave forecasts – July 12, 2025 – Re-posted from Mercator Ocean Bulletin

Marine heatwave intensity categories for 12 July, 2025. Global ocean. Credit: Mercator Ocean International

The marine heatwave bulletin provides forecasts and analysis of marine heatwave events across the globe and throughout the year. Used datasets include observations (satellite sea surface temperature maps) and numerical model analyses (assimilating satellite and in situ observations) to derive marine heatwave forecasts for a 10-day period. This week’s forecasts were produced using as a comparison the marine heatwave situation on 01/07/2025.

Category and geographical extent differences for 12 July, 2025. Global ocean. Credit: Mercator Ocean International 

Tropical Atlantic

The marine heatwave in the Gulf of Mexico and South of Cuba is increasing in intensity, with strong to locally extreme categories.

Mean sea surface temperature anomaly map for the week 6 to 12 July, 2025. Global Ocean. Credit: Mercator Ocean International
North Atlantic-2°C to 3°C
Mediterranean Sea-1°C to >3°C
Tropical Atlantic-2°C to 2°C
North Pacific-3°C < à >3°C
Indian Ocean-3°C to 2°C

Access the Daily Global Physical Bulletin for a 9-day forecast here.