Marine heatwave forecasts – July 5, 2025 – Re-posted from Mercator Ocean Bulletin

Marine heatwave intensity categories for 5 July, 2025. Global ocean. Credit: Mercator Ocean International

The marine heatwave bulletin provides forecasts and analysis of marine heatwave events across the globe and throughout the year. Used datasets include observations (satellite sea surface temperature maps) and numerical model analyses (assimilating satellite and in situ observations) to derive marine heatwave forecasts for a 10-day period. This week’s forecasts were produced using as a comparison the marine heatwave situation on 24/06/2025

Category and geographical extent differences for 5 July, 2025. Global ocean. Credit: Mercator Ocean International 

Tropical Atlantic

The marine heatwave in the Gulf of Mexico and South of Cuba is decreasing in extent, but its intensity with strong to sever categories. . 

North Pacific

The marine heatwave in the central basin around 30°N increases in intensity with strong to severe and locally extreme categories. In the Japan Sea a marine heatwave is developing with strong category. Off the coast of Canadian the marine heatwave decreases in extent but the strong category extent increases. 

Sea surface temperature anomaly map for the week 29 June to 5 July, 2025. Global Ocean. Credit: Mercator Ocean International
North Atlantic-2°C to 3°C
Mediterranean Sea-1°C to 3°C
Tropical Atlantic-1°C to 1°C
North Pacific-0°C à 3°C
Indian Ocean-3°C to 1°C

Access the Daily Global Physical Bulletin for a 9-day forecast here.